RQ's latest analysis

The Rumor Queen posted a new wait time analysis this morning. Here's her table:
So, with a 1/16/06 LID we would have a referral between December 2007 (good case) and September 2008 (horrid case), with between March-May 2008 being more likely.

I also checked in on the China Adoption Forecast site and it is currently saying:

Our best guess - a weighted average of recent CCAA velocities, guessing that CCAA will perform about as well in the future as they are performing now, but might return to previous trends: 2007-12-03

Their worst case is about the same as RQ's - September 28, 2008.

December would be so exciting, but I think March is a lot more likely. I'm hoping that it's not much later than that because of (1) the Beijing Olympics and (2) steamy Guangzhou summers.